EU climate ministers agreed a 2040 climate change target in the early hours of Wednesday after watering d
own the goal in last-minute negotiations, as they raced to clinch the deal before the U.N. COP30 summit in Brazil.
After negotiating late into Tuesday night, climate ministers from European Union countries approved in a publi
c vote a compromise to cut emissions 90% by 2040, from 1990 levels, but with flexibilities to weaken this aim.
The weakened target would let countries buy foreign carbon credits to cover up to 5% of the 90% emissions-c
utting goal. That would effectively weaken to 85% the emissions cuts required from European industries, and pa
y foreign countries to cut emissions on Europe’s behalf to make up the rest.
The EU also agreed to consider the option, in future, to use intern
ational carbon credits to meet a further 5% of the 2040 emissions reductions – potentially shaving another 5% off the domestic target.
Additionally, countries agreed a 2035 target to cut emissions in a range of 66.25-72.5%. The U.N. asked all govern
ments worldwide to submit 2035 climate plans before the COP30 climate summit opens on Thursday.
Backlash Against Ambitious Goals
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“Setting a climate target is not just picking a number, it is a po
itical decision with far-reaching consequences for the continent,” said Danish climate minister Lars Aagaard.
“Therefore, we have also worked to provide comfort that it can be reached in a way that preserves competitiveness, social balance and security.”
Reuters previously reported the details of the final deal.
In a further effort to win over skeptical countries, the EU also agreed to weaken other politically sensitive climate po
licies – including by delaying the launch of an upcoming EU carbon market by one year, to 2028.
Still, a handful of countries including Poland, Slovakia and Hungary opposed the 2040 climate target on the gr
ounds it would hit industries’ competitiveness. Their opposition wa
s not enough to block the agreement, which needed backing from at least 15 of 27 member states.
The deal meant the EU will not go empty-handed to COP30, where European Commission President Ursu
la von der Leyen will meet other world leaders on November 6.
The COP30 talks will test the will of major economies to keep fighting climate change in the face of opposition fr
om U.S. President Donald Trump. The EU has prided itself on leading international efforts to curb climate change at past COPs.
But the dilution of the target reflects a backlash against Europe’s am
bitious climate agenda, from industries and some governments skeptical that it can afford the measures alongside defense and industrial priorities.
Demands for Flexibility
The European Commission had originally proposed a 90% emissions-cutting target, with a maximum 3% shar
e of carbon credits. The target was designed to keep the EU on track between its legally-binding goals to cut net emissions by 55% by 2030, and reach net zero emissions by 2050.